Saturday, November 16, 2013

Real Geniuses

We're using the laser focus only possible using synthesized excited bromide in an argon matrix to pull out of our funk.   Acknowledging that we have talked ourselves out of a lot of winners for reasons that do not make much sense, we are sticking to the basics, and trusting what our eyes tell us.  With that in mind, we took Indy at Ten.  The logic was Luck would lead his team to a convincing win against a banged up division rival.  He did, and covered.  Unfortunately, he covered with too much time on the clock, and his horrible coaching staff inserted the prevent D that allowed for the only monocle wearing quarterback in the NFL to get a late touchdown that resulted in a push.  While this was disappointing, given how poorly we've done over the last couple of weeks, a push is progress.  (Ugh.  We've been lowered to the expectations of the government.)  Also, these book makers are ridiculously good.  Seeing the flow of that game, and how it ended at a 3 points spread, it is nothing short of magic.

So, what's up for the weekend?

With the college season entering its final stretch and the NFL's second half under way, we are left with trust that teams will continue to be who we think they are.  This means taking huge lines for Florida State and Alabama.  It also means that we have to trust that Vegas hates Michigan State for reasons we don't quite understand.

We are taking a tease with South Carolina (-7), Alabama (-17.5) and Michigan State (+.5)  We are also taking FSU-East on a straight ticket to cover (-37.5).

At the NFL level, we are looking at NYG (-4.5) at home over the Packers' third string quarterback without Randall Cobb.  We also like Detroit (-3) at Pittsburgh.  Depending how we do on the college games, we'll decide how to move allocate bets on the NFL games.  Also in play is San Diego at Miami.

I know, I know.  I just wrote about staying away, but it's hard to not bet against a team that is now without one side of its already shaky offense line.  You should also know I'm that guy who keeps eating because things taste good even though I am full. I do not possess many healthy habits, as surprising as that may seem for someone who writes a blog about gambling to raise money for golf.  Get your popcorn ready, it's time for another weekend of excitement







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