Monday, November 4, 2013

O Brother, Where Art Thou?

We lost the Ryan Belly Bowl by taking the Ryan that still has his belly and got smoked on our NFL Teaser ticket.  Thanks to a blocked PAT and the RomoCoaster doing his thing, we crawled away from the Dallas game with a push.  That left the Saints, who have looked really good against the Jets, who have looked really bad or really lucky.  Yesterday, they displayed their new look - not shabby, while New Orleans has us thinking of laying odds on Carolina to win the NFC South (currently +300).

While other important people might have fudged about your insurance, we are keep true to our platform. The plan is simple - College Tease; NFL Tease; Winner's ticket.  Don't chase losses.  Don't try and leverage wins.  The net effect?  You have read all of the blog to know what's in it.  Which is a good thing, because we would have probably taken Green Bay.  So, because we are disciplined, we avoided making our small loss a bigger one.

Important Thing(s) We Learned This Week - Houston is going to be fun for the rest of the season.  A healthy New England might still be good.  The Giants might be alive.

Other Things We Learned This Week - Betting against Atlanta is a pretty good bet.  Carolina might also be good, but we're not sure how good.  KC's defense will take out bad teams.  KC's offense is tough to watch. Dallas is not a good team to gamble on.  Minnesota is not as bad as their record.  We have no idea what to make of Philly, or Oakland for that matter.  Pittsburgh continues to be "Meh?"  We're betting against Green Bay as long as Seneca Wallace lines up under center.

Putting aside the NFL, our college horses continue to look good.  FSU (east) continued to look like the best team in college.  FSU (west) held serve, but we're probably done betting on them.  Mizzou is what we thought they were, and so is South Carolina.  Michigan State is continuing to look great heading into the Big 10+2 championship game.  Oklahoma State is also looking very good.

So what looks good early?  The Vikings (+2.5) at home against the Redskins.  (yeah, you read that right media, REDSKINS!)   Not because the Skins are that bad, but I think Minnesota is just better. Oregon at Stanford (-10).  I'd still be in at (-40).  Minnesota (-2.5) hosting Penn State. Auburn (-7) at Tennessee. Speaking of Tennessee, we like the Titans at Jacksonville (-13.5).  We also like the Giants (-7) hosting the Raiders.  San Francisco (-6.5) hosting the Panthers.  FYI - SF has won its last 5 games by an average margin of 22.5.  Good luck picking Miami (-3) at Tampa Bay.  Both locker rooms appear to be a shit-show, but Miami is at least a winning locker room that doesn't hate its coach.  Seriously, Florida.  What's your deal?

We are just staying away from Seattle, Denver (because of San Diego and the J. Fox issues), and Houston - we like the Keenum era, but are not stoked about the coach passing out on the side line era.  We are taking our advise on the Bengals.  We are also staying away from FSU (east) only because of the (-35) line.  Big win this weekend, and no question they should dominate Wake Forrest, but we could also see a 21 point win.

No comments:

Post a Comment