Whoever Smelt It, Dealt It

Whoa, it's smelly in here!!! (looking around for dog to blame....)

So we've run into two straight weeks of losing tickets.  This is particularly disappointing because we've picked winners, but have also included a loser each time.  I guess it's true what they say about one bad apple spoiling the bunch.  In our defense, I don't think many people saw the Colts digging a 28-0 hole to the Rams. The Panthers win was not as shocking, which is why we kept SF off the winner's ticket.  On the college side, we whiffed on Oregon and LSU.  Baylor and Missouri are holding serve nicely.

Important Thing We Learned:

Alabama is for real.  Granted LSU had some bad fumbles and bad coaching (take the points Les!!!!), but a lot of that was due to the dominance of Alabama. Also, the FSUs are both getting it done.  FSU-East is ridiculous. (Ed. Note: as of the writing of this, reports have just surfaced that J. Winston might have been overly handsy and/or genitally with the ladies.)  FSU-West is taking care of business.

Other Stuff We Learned:

Vandy might be legit.  Going on the road at Florida (even a banged up FLA) and winning is big.  Auburn likely is legit.  We like them this weekend.  Baylor is the Oregon of the Midwest, and luckily for them there is no Stanford in the Big-12-2.  Michigan State is our favorite to win the Big 10+2.

The NFL is getting tougher to gamble on, but a few thing look good for a while.  Betting against the Packers as long as Rodgers is out.  This includes the NYG, whose schedule is set for yet another a late season rally to win the NFC East (currently at +500).  Carolina is good, or at least good enough.  Stay away from all teams in Florida - they cannot decide if they are awful, bad, or okay.  Unbelievably, the Browns at 11-2 to win the AFC North is not an awful bet.  (Ed. Note: I'm as stunned as you are.)

So, here's what we're looking at this week:

Buffalo at Toledo.  Ugh.  We decided to keep riding the Buffaloes.  This was a bad idea.

As much as we should be gun shy of the Colts, the Titans without Locker are gettable, and the Colts are a team that should rally from getting smoked in a positive way.  South Carolina should roll on Florida and its third string QB.  Unless he's in cuffs, FSU-East should cover 39 (39!!!!) at home over Syracuse.  Auburn at home also looks good against Georgia.  We also like Michigan State at Nebraska.

The remainder of the NFL slate looks rough.  The only standouts are NYG hosting the Packers, and the Eagles at home over the Redskins.  A game that should be a blowout but might be an upset is MIN at SEA. Aren't the Vikings similar to the Buccaneers but with slightly better players at every position? We would probably take Carolina over the Patriots if New England wasn't coming off a bye.